Evidence
Join economics, performance, and market context.
Governed execution
A 24/7 operator.Authority stays yours.
Agent Canvas makes the entire operating plan visible from signal through measured outcome.
01Signal
02Evidence
03Decision
04Action
05Outcome
What it changesAuthority is a setting.
Authority is a setting.
Never an assumption.
Evidence, probability, expected upside, downside, and invalidation conditions travel with every proposed decision.
Malach prepares or executes work only within Observe, Approval, Canary, or Full Auto authority.
TRY MALACH / AUTO AGENTWatch Malach
Watch Malach
make the call.
Choose an authority mode and watch the decision become governed work.
MALACH / LIVE DECISION ENGINEREADY TO CALCULATE
CHOOSE A SIGNAL
CHOOSE AUTHORITY
01 / LIVE SIGNALS
Cost per click$3.60Google Ads
Profit before ads$160 / orderShopify
Conversion rate3.20%Matched orders
02 / CHECK THE MATH78% chance of profit
Expected daily contribution+$1,010
BREAK-EVEN CONVERSION RATE
$3.60 ÷ $160 = 2.25%Conversion is 0.95 points above break-even, downside stays inside the active limit, and 1,842 matched orders support the estimate.
03 / RECOMMENDED MOVE78% confidence
Increase budget 12%
Demand is growing and the next dollar remains above break-even.
ACTIVE LIMITNo action without approval
DECISION LEDGER
Signal, formula, probability, rationale, authority, and outcome are ready to be recorded.
AWAITING ACTIONThe system,
explained clearly.
Capability, evidence, and authority stay visible from the first signal through the measured outcome.
Decision
Make probability, upside, downside, and stopping conditions visible.
Outcome
Confirm the change, measure the result, and return evidence to the next cycle.
MATHEMATICS · STATISTICS · PROBABILITYIntelligence that
Intelligence that
shows its work.
Actions compete on expected contribution, downside, reversibility, and time-to-learn.
EV(a) = P(profit)·upside − P(harm)·downside − cost(a)The Anti-Algorithm measures platform signals against your economics before capital receives authority.
P(H | E) = P(E | H) × P(H) ÷ P(E)Evidence updates confidence continuously instead of locking the system to yesterday’s assumption.
Brier = (1/N) Σ(pᵢ − oᵢ)²Forecasts are scored against outcomes so success and failure both improve the next decision.
DECISION SIMULATORLIVE CALCULATION
Expected profit after risk+$8,060Small test allowedThe move still depends on your plan, enough trustworthy data, and every active limit.
EVERY ACTION ACCOUNTED FOR
Open the rationale behind every move.
EvidenceProbabilityAuthorityOutcome
WATCH · CALCULATE · ACT · LEARN